Baeza CF vs UD La Guardia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+135%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BAE
3 - 1
CDU
65%
21%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
BAE
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
BAE
3 - 1
CDV
79%
15%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FSV
2 - 1
BAE
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BAE
2 - 0
ATL
54%
23%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 3
LIN
14%
20%
66%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ILI
2 - 1
LAG
82%
13%
5%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BEA
1 - 2
LAG
77%
15%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
CLO
59%
22%
20%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CDU
4 - 1
LAG
49%
24%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |