Baeza CF vs Alcalá CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAE
30%
28%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
BAE
2 - 0
RON
18%
24%
58%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +3 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
JOD
0 - 1
BAE
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
BAE
0 - 0
NSR
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BAE
1 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ALC
4 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALC
52%
25%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 2
EST
26%
25%
50%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
UDT
1 - 3
ALC
51%
24%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ALC
3 - 1
RJA
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |