Bærum II vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2014 |
VIF
4 - 0
BAE
22%
20%
59%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
BAE
4 - 1
LOK
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
ODS
2 - 0
BAE
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
BAE
4 - 2
AIF
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
JEV
0 - 2
BAE
81%
11%
8%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
SKA
2 - 1
MOD
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 0
HBK
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 1
ASK
85%
10%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
VIF
0 - 1
MOD
15%
19%
65%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 2
LOK
74%
15%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |