Bærum II vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
52.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MJO
3 - 1
BAE
55%
22%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAE
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
BAE
2 - 0
LYN
10%
17%
72%
|
20 | 64 | 44 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
RIL
2 - 2
BAE
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
BAE
5 - 1
ROA
53%
22%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASK
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
RAU
1 - 2
MOD
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 2
NLI
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 2
MOD
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ULL
1 - 0
MOD
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |