Baden vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
78%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 2
ZOF
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FCG
2 - 0
BAD
25%
24%
52%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAD
5 - 1
FCS
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NEX
0 - 0
BAD
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 1
LUZ
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
THU
2 - 1
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
GCZ
3 - 1
ZUR
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FCA
5 - 1
ZUR
30%
24%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ZUR
0 - 2
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |