Baden vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUZ
2 - 3
BAD
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 0
SCB
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FCG
0 - 5
BAD
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 0
BUO
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
YFJ
2 - 0
BAD
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 1
WIN
74%
16%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
TUG
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 1
TUG
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
TUG
2 - 2
LUZ
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SCB
3 - 0
TUG
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |