Baden vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BAD
2 - 2
MEN
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
EMM
1 - 0
BAD
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAD
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BAD
1 - 1
LUZ
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 2
ZOF
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
TUG
0 - 1
ESC
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MEN
1 - 3
TUG
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
TUG
0 - 1
GCB
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
TUG
4 - 2
LUG
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TUG
2 - 3
LUZ
67%
18%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |