Baden vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
STG
0 - 2
BAD
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BAD
4 - 3
GRA
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RSZ
1 - 4
BAD
27%
24%
48%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BAD
0 - 1
CHI
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
RAP
4 - 2
BAD
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
TUG
5 - 1
KRE
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
GCB
0 - 3
TUG
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TUG
3 - 1
HON
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
TUG
1 - 1
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
TUG
4 - 1
SVS
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |