Baden vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAD
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ESC
3 - 2
BAD
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
BAD
5 - 0
ESC
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ZOF
0 - 3
BAD
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BAD
5 - 0
FCG
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAD
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
NEX
3 - 0
FRI
84%
11%
4%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
FRI
2 - 2
NEX
10%
19%
71%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
NEX
2 - 0
MUN
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SOL
2 - 3
NEX
12%
19%
68%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |