Baden vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BAD
5 - 3
ESC
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FCW
2 - 0
BAD
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BAD
1 - 1
LIN
47%
23%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TUG
6 - 2
BAD
62%
20%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BAD
0 - 1
WIN
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
KOS
4 - 2
MEN
80%
13%
8%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MEN
1 - 3
RSZ
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
UZU
0 - 0
MEN
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MEN
3 - 3
FCT
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MEN
1 - 3
FCG
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |