Baden vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
EMM
1 - 0
BAD
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAD
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BAD
1 - 1
LUZ
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 2
ZOF
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAD
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MEN
1 - 3
TUG
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 0
MEN
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MEN
0 - 1
LUZ
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ZOF
3 - 2
MEN
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
MEN
0 - 2
RAP
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -2 |