Baden vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2002 |
BAD
2 - 1
YVE
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
LOC
1 - 1
BAD
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
BAD
1 - 2
CON
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
ETO
0 - 1
BAD
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
KRI
1 - 2
BAD
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2002 |
BAS
4 - 3
LUG
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
LUG
1 - 3
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
GCZ
2 - 1
LUG
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
LUG
2 - 0
SIO
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
YOB
2 - 2
LUG
38%
25%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |