Baden vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
ETO
0 - 0
BAD
54%
23%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
BAD
0 - 1
SOL
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
KRI
1 - 1
BAD
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
BAD
2 - 1
YOB
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
NEX
5 - 0
BAD
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 0
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
LUG
2 - 1
KRI
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
SOL
0 - 0
LUG
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
LUG
3 - 1
NEX
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
YOB
1 - 1
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |