Baden vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 3
BAD
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAD
1 - 0
MEN
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TAV
0 - 2
BAD
18%
22%
61%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAD
4 - 2
DIE
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 1
BAD
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCG
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 1
LUG
64%
20%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 4
FCT
43%
26%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCW
2 - 0
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
LUG
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |