Baden vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 2
BAD
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
YFJ
2 - 1
BAD
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BAD
0 - 1
ESC
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TUG
1 - 0
BAD
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BAD
3 - 0
STG
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
TUG
47%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
BUO
1 - 2
LUG
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 0
LUG
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LUG
6 - 0
FCB
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 3
LUG
21%
23%
57%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |