Baden vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SOL
1 - 0
BAD
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAD
3 - 3
THU
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 3
BAD
54%
22%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BAD
3 - 0
BUO
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 2
BAD
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 3
LUZ
10%
16%
74%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ZUG
0 - 2
FCS
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FCM
1 - 2
FCS
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 2
SOL
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
THU
0 - 1
FCS
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |