Baden vs FC Grenchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SEN
0 - 4
BAD
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAD
3 - 0
BLA
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 1
MUN
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
WAN
1 - 0
BAD
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAD
4 - 1
MUT
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
WAN
1 - 0
FCG
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCG
1 - 0
MUN
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCG
0 - 3
MUT
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 1
FCG
42%
24%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FCG
2 - 1
DOR
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |