Baden vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2000 |
BEL
3 - 1
BAD
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAD
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
BAD
0 - 1
ZUR
22%
26%
53%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
BAD
1 - 3
SIO
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
SIO
4 - 1
BAD
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2000 |
FCA
2 - 2
LUG
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
FCA
1 - 1
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
DEL
0 - 1
FCA
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
FCA
5 - 2
DEL
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |