Baden vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAV
1 - 3
BAD
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAD
2 - 0
SCB
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCZ
5 - 0
BAD
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAD
4 - 1
RAP
33%
23%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
2 - 1
BAD
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ETO
3 - 2
BIE
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ETO
2 - 4
STG
8%
14%
78%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ETO
2 - 0
BRE
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ETO
7 - 0
YFJ
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BAV
0 - 2
ETO
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |