Bad Sauerbrunn vs Kohfidisch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
7º
30
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
BAS
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 3
ASK
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
GUS
2 - 3
BAS
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCA
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
DEU
3 - 0
BAS
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Kohfidisch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
10 - 2
HOR
22%
20%
57%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 5
FUR
22%
22%
57%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 4
RIT
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 3
ASK
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 3
KLI
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |