Bad Kötzting vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
64.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 2
BAD
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
BAD
1 - 2
ANS
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
WEI
2 - 0
BAD
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 0
BAY
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 1
WOL
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 1
GRE
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -4 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 1
JRE
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
WEI
0 - 4
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |