Bad Kötzting vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SVW
5 - 3
BAD
28%
20%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 4
BAD
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAD
4 - 2
BUR
63%
21%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAD
1 - 3
SCE
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 1
TSS
36%
23%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BOG
2 - 2
TB/
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BOG
2 - 3
FCT
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 2
BOG
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SVL
2 - 0
BOG
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BOG
1 - 2
TKL
21%
23%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |