Bad Kötzting vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
NEU
5 - 0
BAD
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
BUR
1 - 0
BAD
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
FCT
0 - 4
BAD
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAD
3 - 1
TKL
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SCN
2 - 1
BAD
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BOG
1 - 0
SCN
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BOG
0 - 4
SCE
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
BOG
0 - 0
TPF
47%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
TSK
3 - 0
BOG
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BOG
1 - 2
TSV
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |