Bad Ischl vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
GMU
3 - 2
BAD
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BAD
2 - 1
WEL
49%
24%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
STM
0 - 2
BAD
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SIE
6 - 0
BAD
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 1
NEU
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 4
SSM
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
SIE
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 1
SIE
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SIE
6 - 0
BAD
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 2
STM
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |