Bad Ischl vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
BAD
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 1
UNP
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
VOC
3 - 0
BAD
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAD
3 - 1
SIE
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
GMU
3 - 2
BAD
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
SSM
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
BAD
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 4
UNP
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
VOC
7 - 1
MAR
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |