Bad Goisern vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Goisern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BAD
2 - 3
GRI
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
GRU
3 - 0
BAD
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
EFE
2 - 2
BAD
70%
17%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 1
WEL
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GMU
4 - 0
BAD
86%
10%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SIE
6 - 0
BAD
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 2
STM
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
GRI
1 - 1
SIE
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 1
BAD
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
EFE
0 - 1
SIE
54%
24%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |