Bad Goisern vs Marchtrenk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Goisern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 4
GUR
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
GRI
0 - 2
BAD
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAD
0 - 3
STM
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 2
BAD
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAD
2 - 2
UNI
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marchtrenk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
GRI
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STM
5 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
NEU
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 4
SIE
61%
20%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |