Bad Bleiberg vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Bleiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2002 |
LAS
2 - 1
BBL
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
BBL
3 - 0
LUS
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
UNT
3 - 2
BBL
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
BBL
2 - 1
MAT
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
LBN
1 - 1
BBL
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 2
SCA
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 1
UNT
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
LAS
2 - 0
WOR
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 2
LBN
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
MAT
2 - 2
WOR
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |