Bad Aussee vs Weiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VEI
2 - 0
AUS
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
VOI
2 - 0
AUS
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
WEL
4 - 1
AUS
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
FEL
2 - 3
AUS
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
AUS
2 - 0
FCK
19%
24%
58%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Weiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
WEI
2 - 2
VOI
30%
25%
46%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
WEI
5 - 1
FEL
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
FCK
0 - 3
WEI
82%
13%
6%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +3 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
STF
4 - 0
WEI
62%
20%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
WEI
4 - 3
ALL
36%
26%
39%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |