Bad Aussee vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
AUS
0 - 9
WAC
27%
27%
47%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
FCB
0 - 0
AUS
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
AUS
1 - 2
FEL
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -3 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
FCK
0 - 3
AUS
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
AUS
0 - 1
STF
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
STU
3 - 1
12%
22%
66%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
STU
0 - 3
STF
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SVL
1 - 2
STU
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
WAC
0 - 1
STU
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
STU
0 - 2
FCB
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |