Bacoli Sibilla vs Fidene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bacoli Sibilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
POM
2 - 0
BAC
58%
23%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BAC
1 - 2
ANZ
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BUD
2 - 1
BAC
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BAC
1 - 2
POR
38%
25%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AST
3 - 1
BAC
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FID
3 - 2
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PRO
3 - 0
FID
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -3 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FID
3 - 2
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SOR
0 - 2
FID
61%
22%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FID
1 - 1
MON
53%
23%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |