Bacoli Sibilla vs Civitavecchia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bacoli Sibilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CYN
1 - 1
BAC
47%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
BAC
0 - 0
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BAC
1 - 0
PRO
69%
19%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ARZ
0 - 0
BAC
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BAC
0 - 0
SOR
24%
24%
53%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 2
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
2 - 1
CIV
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CIV
0 - 1
SEL
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 2
CIV
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 2
PAL
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |