Bacabal vs São José MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bacabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
QUI
4 - 0
BAC
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
COR
3 - 0
BAC
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
BAC
2 - 0
IMP
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
VIA
0 - 1
BAC
37%
24%
38%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAC
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São José MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
JOS
2 - 1
SAB
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 1
JOS
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 1
JOS
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
JOS
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
JOS
2 - 2
SAM
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |