Bacabal vs São José MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bacabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
BAC
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
BAC
1 - 1
IMP
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAM
3 - 1
BAC
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
COR
3 - 2
BAC
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
BAC
0 - 1
IMP
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
São José MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
JOS
5 - 2
SEN
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
MOT
1 - 0
JOS
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
JOS
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
JOS
2 - 4
QUI
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
SEN
1 - 1
JOS
40%
24%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |