Bacabal vs IAPE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bacabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
BAC
3 - 3
QUI
24%
23%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
BAC
4 - 1
SEN
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
BAC
0 - 1
JOS
44%
24%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
BAC
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
BAC
1 - 1
IMP
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
IAPE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
IAP
2 - 2
QUI
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JOS
0 - 2
IAP
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
IAP
1 - 1
MAR
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
IAP
11 - 1
SEN
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
IMP
0 - 1
IAP
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |