Bacabal vs IAPE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bacabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
JOS
3 - 1
BAC
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VIA
1 - 0
BAC
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
SEN
3 - 0
BAC
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
BAC
1 - 1
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
BAC
2 - 3
JOS
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
IAPE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
IAP
3 - 1
VIA
71%
17%
13%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
IAP
2 - 1
SEN
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
IAP
1 - 2
SAM
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
IAP
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
SEN
1 - 6
IAP
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |