B36 III vs B68 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B36 III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
IFF
6 - 1
TOR
49%
22%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
5 - 0
EBS
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
5 - 2
KIK
47%
23%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
SKA
75%
14%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VES
1 - 3
TOR
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
B68 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
TOF
1 - 2
SKA
65%
17%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TOF
0 - 4
IFF
37%
23%
40%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TOF
1 - 1
ROY
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TOF
3 - 1
VES
88%
8%
4%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KIK
1 - 1
TOF
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |