CAF Champions League 1/16
First leg 1-1
BYC vs Real De Banjul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BYC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
BYO
78%
16%
7%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
LIS
0 - 0
BYO
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BYO
2 - 1
FAS
19%
22%
58%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
BYO
0 - 1
MCL
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
BLA
0 - 1
BYO
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real De Banjul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 3
REA
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
REA
37%
30%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
BYO
78%
16%
7%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
BRI
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BAK
0 - 0
REA
38%
31%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |