Bærum vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
5º
32
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
OPP
57%
21%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 4
ASK
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAR
14%
17%
69%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -3 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
FRI
48%
21%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 1
ASK
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
OPP
4 - 0
ULL
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 2
NOR
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 0
ULL
73%
16%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 0
SAR
70%
17%
14%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |