Bærum vs Ull Kisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
52%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
12º
12º
41
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ULL
2 - 1
BAR
21%
23%
57%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
GJO
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
LEV
6 - 0
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 3
KVI
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 3
HAM
17%
19%
64%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Ull Kisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 4
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
ULL
36%
25%
40%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ULL
2 - 0
STR
74%
16%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ULL
0 - 1
ULL
9%
16%
75%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
STB
3 - 2
ULL
23%
21%
56%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -2 |