Bærum vs Tromsdalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
40%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
12º
12º
50
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
STR
2 - 4
BAR
52%
22%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 2
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
TRA
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LEV
4 - 2
BAR
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
4 - 0
BAR
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Tromsdalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
TRO
5 - 2
ALT
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HOD
2 - 1
TRO
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 1
ALT
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
0 - 3
TRO
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
TRO
0 - 0
VAL
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |