Bærum vs Stabæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
5 - 3
AFK
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 5
BAR
16%
18%
66%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
0 - 2
BAR
31%
23%
46%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
KFU
71%
15%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
STR
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIF
1 - 3
STB
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 2
STB
8%
15%
77%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STB
1 - 0
BRY
47%
26%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ELP
1 - 1
STB
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
STB
0 - 1
LSK
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |