Bærum vs Stabæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
68.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FKA
1 - 1
BAR
24%
21%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
ULL
40%
23%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
5 - 0
ORN
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 0
BAR
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
VIF
2 - 4
BAR
9%
14%
77%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
STB
1 - 2
ODD
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 7
STB
6%
12%
82%
|
75 | 33 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
HAU
3 - 1
STB
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
STB
0 - 1
STR
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
S08
1 - 1
STB
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |