Bærum vs Sarpsborg FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
0 - 2
BAR
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOT
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2006 |
ODD
0 - 2
BAR
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 0
DRO
69%
17%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
ORN
0 - 0
BAR
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
SAR
0 - 0
TFC
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
SAR
2 - 1
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
SAR
2 - 1
ODD
58%
21%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
SAR
81%
13%
7%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
DRO
1 - 1
SAR
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |