Bærum vs Levanger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
12º
12º
70
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ULL
4 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
KVI
3 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
6 - 1
ULL
70%
17%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 3
ULL
26%
22%
52%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ULL
2 - 1
BAR
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Levanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
LEV
5 - 0
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 1
LEV
19%
22%
60%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 3
IKJ
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
LEV
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LEV
5 - 1
ALT
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |