Bærum vs Grorud IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 2
SOI
84%
10%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ILU
1 - 0
BAR
18%
18%
64%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 1
SKJ
62%
19%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 2
ORN
36%
23%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AIF
3 - 1
BAR
14%
17%
70%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
EID
1 - 2
GRO
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 3
TRO
33%
25%
43%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
STR
1 - 1
GRO
43%
23%
35%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HON
3 - 3
GRO
43%
22%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
RAU
1 - 2
GRO
56%
21%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |