Bærum vs Askollen FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
5º
16
10º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 5
BAR
16%
18%
66%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
0 - 2
BAR
31%
23%
46%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
KFU
71%
15%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
STR
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GJO
4 - 2
BAR
63%
20%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Askollen FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 4
SAR
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
1 - 3
ODD
3%
8%
89%
|
24 | 72 | 48 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OPP
3 - 2
AFK
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ORN
4 - 0
AFK
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 0
AFK
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |