B93 vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
1º
48
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B93
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
THI
0 - 2
B93
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
B93
3 - 0
JAM
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
B93
3 - 2
KOL
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HEL
1 - 3
B93
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
B93
3 - 1
ROS
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AAF
1 - 1
KOL
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ROS
4 - 6
AAF
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
AAF
9%
15%
76%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
0 - 1
ESB
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 3
AAF
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |