B 1903 vs FA 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
B19
3 - 2
ABT
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 1
B19
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
B19
0 - 2
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
NBB
1 - 2
B19
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
B19
1 - 1
B19
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FA 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FA2
3 - 0
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NBB
2 - 1
FA2
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FA2
4 - 1
BGA
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 2
FA2
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
FA2
1 - 2
AVE
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |