Herrera FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
43%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
AZU
0 - 2
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
OES
1 - 2
AZU
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
AZU
1 - 1
OES
38%
30%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
AZU
2 - 1
SMA
42%
30%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 1
AZU
40%
28%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
IND
3 - 1
SFF
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
IND
0 - 0
COS
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
COS
1 - 2
IND
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
SMI
0 - 2
IND
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
SFF
1 - 1
IND
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |